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Precarious Resilience: Tunisia's Libyan Predicament


Libya suffers from an interlinked political, security and economic crisis that is proving to be particularly destabilising for its neighboring Tunisia. The emerging conflict economy across the Tunisia–Libya border, the proliferation of non-state armed groups along with support from external actors and the backlash of increasing securitization of the border regions intended to contain the risk of violent spillover from Libya, are threatening to weaken Tunisia’s resilience. Tunisia’s active participation in a diplomatic initiative involving Libya’s neighbouring countries aims at containing the risk of instability through reconciling the various belligerents and resolving the long-standing polarization within Libyan society. The author explores the impact of the Libyan crisis and the prospects of strengthening the resilience of Tunisia’s state and society.

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