Titolo completo
Mapping EU-US Digital and Energy Cooperation: A Transatlantic Relationship under Pressure
Transatlantic cooperation in digital and energy sectors faces unprecedented strain following Trump’s return to the US presidency in 2025. Fundamental divergences have emerged over platform governance, AI regulation, semiconductor cooperation and climate policy. Scenario analysis reveals potential futures ranging from European regulatory capitulation to controlled escalation, with tactical compromises most probable. Europe must balance strengthening strategic autonomy in technology and energy while maintaining vital transatlantic ties in an increasingly fragmented global system.
Paper prepared in the framework of the project “Building a Transatlantic Technology Bridge: Challenges and Opportunities”.
Introduction
1. The crisis of digital cooperation
1.1 Governing digital platforms: Transatlantic clash
1.2 Artificial intelligence: Complete divergence
1.3 Semiconductors: Cooperation under strain
2. The energy crisis: From interdependence to transaction
2.1 The July 2025 EU-US energy deal
2.2 The climate dimension
3. Scenarios for 2026-2028
3.1 Scenario A: Precarious compromise
3.2 Scenario B: Controlled escalation
3.3 Most probable scenario
Conclusions
