Early Warning and Conflict Prevention in the Euro-Med Area
In 2000 the International Affairs Institute (IAI) launched a project aimed at creating a first nucleus of capabilities in conflict prevention in the Euro-Mediterranean framework, with a view to contribute to the development of a conflict prevention ‘culture’ in and about the Euro-Med area, and to the preparation of the appropriate conditions for actual preventive actions in the region. The project consisted of two interacting processes:
The development of tools for a Euro-Med Conflict Prevention System and, in particular, an integrated model for early warning and response planning (EW&R), specifically tailored for conflict prevention in the Mediterranean countries; this includes a dedicated model of analysis and software, the CCP, for early warning activities in the area.
A cooperation programme between the IAI and the Jordan Institute of Diplomacy (JID, Amman) consisting of: (1) a series of seminars on the theoretical and political foundations of conflict prevention in the Euro-Mediterranean region; (2) the establishment of a Conflict Prevention Centre at the JID with the aim of using and testing the IAI CCP model and software; (3) IAI training of the Conflict Prevention Centre (CPC later to become RCCP) researchers for the testing of the CCP software and the creation of a regional database on conflict potentials. The project lasted till 2001 and was founded by the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
R. Aliboni, L. Guazzone, and D. Pioppi, Early Warning and Conflict Prevention in the Euro-Med Area, A Research Report by the Istituto Affari Internazionali, December 2001 (IAI Quaderni. English Series 2).
L. Guazzone and D. Pioppi, Country Conflict Profile (CCP) Software 2nd release, March 2001, Access 1997 prototype version (available on CD-Rom).
L. Guazzone and D. Pioppi, Country Conflict Profile (CCP) Software Handbook, IAI, Rome, March 2001, pp. 61.