Vol. 44, No. 2, June 2009
Special Issue
Evolving Dynamics in the Asia-Pacific
Editorial Note
Nicola Casarini
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Opinions
China-US Relations, Tending Towards Maturity
Huang Ping, Tao Wenzhao, Wang Rongjun, Yuan
Zheng and Zhao Xingshu
The China-US relationship is one of the most important bilateral
relationships in the world, and it is progressively maturing.
Non-traditional security threats are expanding the shared
interests of China and the US. The two countries have developed
more realistic views of each other than they had decades ago, and
this is making military relations more practical. The two are also
interdependent in the economic realm, whether they like it or not,
and therefore must work together to succeed in handling the
current economic crisis. Connected to this economic challenge is
that of climate change, an issue which the US must handle wisely
in its relations with China. In addition, traditional security and
peace issues will remain important, some even sensitive and
difficult, in relations in the near future. The better
relationship which China and the US are moving towards will
contribute substantially not only to bilateral relations but also
to global peace and order.
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A Rejoinder:
Building 'Positive, Cooperative and Comprehensive' China-US Relations
Ralph A. Cossa
The US-China relationship is one of the most important bilateral
relationships in the world. As two of the world’s largest
economies, there can be no solution to the global economic crisis
if the two work at cross purposes and many of the region’s most
complex security challenges - North Korean denuclearisation first
among them - require Sino-US cooperation. The good news is that
both US President Barrack Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao
are aware of and accept the shared responsibility and necessity
for a cooperative approach toward dealing with the global
financial crisis and regional security challenges; both have
pledged to develop a "positive, cooperative and
comprehensive" relationship and build mutual trust in a way
that encourages, rather than worries, friends and allies in the
Asia Pacific.
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Essays
China Central? Australia's Asia Strategy
Robert Ayson
From Australia’s perspective, and in spite of the global
economic crisis, an increasingly strong China will remain the
dominant theme in Asia’s evolving distribution of power.
Australia has benefited from the prosperity which is the
foundation of China’s rise. But it continues to value the
reassurance that a strong United States can bring to Asia. This
favourable status quo seems superior to the alternatives: a
cooperative Asian community which may be more aspirational than
practicable; an Asian concert which requires an unlikely sharing
of leadership between the great powers; or a coalition of Asian
democracies which could be especially divisive. But as this
comfortable status quo is strained, Australia may need to consider
geopolitical options which until now have appeared fanciful and
risky.
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To Be or Not To Be: South Korea's East Asia Security Strategy and the Unification Quandary
Seongho Sheen
South Korea’s Lee Myong-bak government has adopted a new East
Asia strategy to cope with the changing security environment on
the Korean peninsula, as well as in Northeast Asia. Departing from
its traditional dependence on the bilateral alliance with the
United States, South Korea now seeks a diversified strategy which
includes upgrading the alliance with the US to a ‘strategic
alliance’, developing a ‘strategic cooperative partnership’
with China and promoting a multilateral security mechanism in
Northeast Asia. Although it is not clear how South Korea will
handle the contradictory elements and the complexity of the new
strategy, it provides a more realistic approach to dealing with a
possible North Korean contingency and the question of Korean
unification, which should and will eventually be shaped by the two
Koreas’ choices.
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New Trends in Taiwan's China Policy
Christopher R. Hughes
Elections for a new parliament and president in Taiwan last year
have led to a relaxation in the relationship with China that had
become increasingly tense under the previous administration in
Taipei. Having come to power on a platform of economic revival,
the newly elected president, Ma Ying-jeou, now has to win over a
wary public to support his policy of deeper engagement with China.
This is becoming increasingly difficult as the economic downturn
on both sides of the Taiwan Strait has made it hard to deliver the
expected material benefits and the island slides into a severe
recession. Meanwhile, Ma faces a growing dilemma as he waits for
Beijing to deliver concessions on allowing the island more
international space. If this is not forthcoming, domestic politics
could force him back towards the more assertive foreign policy
developed by his predecessors.
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Dilemmas of the 'Middle Continent': Russian strategy for Eastern Eurasia
David Kerr
Russia did not join the West, nor did it join the East. Russia’s
commitment to its strategic autonomy and independent foreign and
security policy requires the preservation of a ‘middle continent’
that bridges and transcends Europe and Asia. Russia pursues a
restorationist strategy for Eurasia but faces a three-way
struggle: for its own autonomy as a great power; for resistance to
absorption within the US-centred system of common strategic space;
and for management of the dynamics between the emergent powers
through negotiation between strategic partnerships and
regionalisms. This article examines these dilemmas in relation to
Eastern Eurasia, and in particular the Sino-Russian relationship.
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China's Growing Military Might in Search of a Strategy
Arthur S. Ding
China’s rapid military modernisation in the past decade has
raised concern over when and how will China use its military power
in the future. There is no definite answer to this concern.
However, the new course in Taiwan, urgent non-traditional security
issues, the domestic agenda for re-allocating resources to
development of a ‘harmonious society’, and the looming
economic crisis could shape China’s foreign policy goals so that
it continues the engagement approach adopted in the past decade.
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A New Arms Race in the Asia-Pacific?
Richard A. Bitzinger
Many countries in the Asia-Pacific, enabled by rising defence
budgets and aggressive marketing by major arms-producing states,
have since the middle of the 1990s greatly expanded their war
fighting capacities beyond the mere modernisation of their armed
forces. While such purchases are intended to aid deterrence and
defence, they may have the unintended consequences of undermining
regional security and stability by contributing to arms races or
arms competitions leading to a classical ‘security dilemma’.
Considering that the Asia-Pacific is still a region of
considerable potential conflict, the logic of such arms purchases
can be called into question.
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Italy in World Affairs
China, the Italian Prejudice
Francesco Sisci
Italy’s political vision of China has been tainted by prejudice.
In past decades, before China’s rapid development, it was a
positive prejudice. People on the right saw China as a bulwark
against the Soviet Union, people on the left viewed it as model of
socialism. In recent years, the prejudice has changed in nature.
Those on the right, defending Italy’s small and medium-sized
enterprises beleaguered by Chinese competition, accuse Beijing of
unfair trade practices, those on the left, fearing that workers
might lose their jobs to China, blame Beijing for exploiting
workers. In either case, Italy is not interested in discovering
the true reality of China, which remains an exotic mystery. This
lack of knowledge is the root of Italy’s policy problems with
China.
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Book Reviews
A Wall with a View
Vittorio Emanuele Parsi and Giuseppe Gabusi
Review of:
Dopo la muraglia,
Giovanni B. Andornino, Vita e pensiero, 2008
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Through a Mirror, Darkly
Christopher W. Braddick
Review of:
Japan's national identity and foreign policy,
Alexander Bukh, Routledge, 2009
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Negotiating with North Korea: An International Deal?
Anna Dall'Oca
Review of:
Strategic thinking about the Korean nuclear crisis,
Gilbert Rozman, Palgrave Macmillan, 2007 ;
Negotiating with the Hermit Kingdom,
Christopher D. LaRoche, Centre for Foreign Policy Studies-Dalhousie University, 2008 ;
North Korea on the brink,
Glyn Ford with Soyoung Kwon, Pluto Press, 2008
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China-India Relations: Political Strategies of Economic and Strategic Cooperation
Claudia Astarita
Review of:
China and India,
Alka Acharya, Har-Anand Pub., 2008
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