Vol. 43, No. 1, March 2008
Opinions
Turkey: A Year of Living Dangerously
Soli Ozel
Turkish democracy passed its
"maturity" test in 2007. The massive shift of power from the Kemalist
establishment to the rising, mostly provincial elites and their allies culminated in the
landslide victory of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) in the summer, which
increased and consolidated its electorate after its first electoral victory in 2002. One
of the main fault lines of the Turkish social and political order, secularism, took centre
stage in the military's interference in the presidential election debacle, the ensuing
massive demonstrations and the parliamentary and presidential elections that followed. At
the same time, xenophobic nationalism, the dark side of democracy, raised its ugly head,
fed further by the exacerbation of PKK violence. With the AKP's monopolisation of power,
Turkey's politics are in uncharted waters and many of the givens of the republican era are
being questioned. Unable to cope with the profound economic and social trans-formations
and changing composition of the population due to massive migration, the old political
structures are crumbling, yet the new political leadership, so adept at municipal
government and so pragmatic in its approach to problem solving, has yet to offer the
country a comprehensive vision of its politics.
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Sarkozy's Foreign Policy: Substance or Style?
Anne-Marie Le Gloannec
The new French President's brash style
is ruffling more than a feather on the international scene: while Nicolas Sarkozy has
contributed to finding a solution to the Constitutional crisis and has brought France back
into the European Union, he certainly does not always sound the good European he pretends
to be. Too many ambiguities and inconsistencies pave his way. The same can be said for
interna-tional politics: for instance, while the new President heralded human rights, he
recently singled himself out by congratulating the election results in Russia. Is there a
distinctive new French policy worldwide?
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Gordon Brown Comes to Brussels (Reluctantly)
Brendan Donnelly
Despite the belief of some that British
Prime Minister Brown's attitudes towards the European Union could not be predicted, much
in his period as Chancellor of the Exchequer suggested that Britain's role within the
European Union would not be a high priority of his premiership. Early indications bear out
this expectation. There will probably not be a British referendum on the Reform Treaty,
but the rhetoric employed by Brown's government to describe the Treaty will be negative
and minimalist. Although no significant body of British opinion favours with-drawal from
the European Union, British popular resentment towards the Union is unlikely to disappear
under Brown's leadership.
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Essays
Europe Forum
Europe's Future Foreign Service
Graham Avery
The Lisbon Treaty adapts the EU's
institutional structures into a new architecture for foreign affairs. It creates a High
Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy with responsibility as
Vice-President in the Commission for work on external affairs ("first pillar")
and in the Council for common foreign and security policy ("second pillar"). To
assist this person in his/her tasks it creates a European External Action Service and
Union Delegations in non-EU countries, which may develop into a European Diplomatic
Service. The article examines the service's tasks, timing, institutional place, staff,
structure and budget, and the participation of EU member states.
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Beyond the Deadlock: How Europe Can Contribute to UN Reform
Ulrich Roos, Ulrich Franke, Günther Hellmann
Ever since it started in the early
1990s, the latest debate on United Nations Security Council reform has divided EU member
states. This division has created a huge stumbling block for progress. It has also
hampered the deepening of the EU's Common Foreign and Security Policy. This article
discusses recent developments in both the UN and the EU. In particular, it sketches out
how the EU can become a key power broker by reconciling the conflicting Italian and German
positions towards a common European UN policy. The creation of semi-permanent SC seats
seems to be the most promising solution in the short term. Moreover, such an interim
approach also promises to achieve a single EU seat in the long run.
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Promoting Regional Cooperation: The EU in South Eastern
Europe
Alessandro Rotta
Promoting regional cooperation has been
one of the EU priorities in South Eastern Europe since the mid-1990s. However, the EU's
regional approach has often been weakened by the prevailing bilateral dimension of its
policies towards SEE countries, and not adequately supported by stringent conditionality.
Nevertheless, recent progress has been achieved in several specific areas of regional
cooperation, such as trade, energy and parliamentary cooperation, and countries of the
region are increasingly assuming responsibility on cooperation processes, as the
transition from the Stability Pact for South Eastern Europe to the regionally owned and
led Regional Cooperation Council seems to prove.
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World Order Re-founded: The Idea of a Concert of Democracies
Emiliano Alessandri
The idea of a "Concert of
Democracies" acting as a sort of new international "directorate" if the UN
Security Council is stalled has engendered great controversy lately in theinternational
public debate. Some top-ranking political leaders, such as US presidential candidate John
McCain, have endorsed a similar plan. Others have instead voiced the concern that the
creation of such a new institution would lead to the dismantling of the UN system
altogether and would engender more problems than it would solve. The article highlights
the terms of the debate that is developing around this proposal, but also provides a
historical and intellectual background to allow for a better understanding of its genesis,
rationale and chances of success.
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Conflicting International Policies and the Western Sahara Stalemate
Hakim Darbouche and Yahia H. Zoubir
The Western Sahara conflict is a
32-year old case of decolonisation that has been on the UN Security Council's agenda since
1991. Despite the straightforwardness of the stalemate in terms of international legality,
the UN has been unable to implement its own provisions on the issue. The UN's failure is
due to the contradictions arising from the interaction throughout the conflict between
international law and geopolitics. Morocco's supporters in the UNSC have not only allowed
it to systematically violate international law but have encouraged Morocco to formalise
its irredentism through its "Autonomy Initiative". This behaviour is perilous
not only for the stability of the Maghreb but for the UN system as well.
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Book Reviews
In Search of the Right War
Roberto Menotti
Review of: Winning the right war :
the path to security for America and the world, Philip H. Gordon, Times Books, 2007
A Neo-liberal Agenda for America
Emiliano Alessandri
Review of: Statecraft : and how to
restore America's standing in the world, Dennis Ross, Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2007
Ancient and Modern Empires: The United States as the New Rome
Riccardo Monaco
Review of: Are we Rome? : the fall
of an empire and the fate of America, Cullen Murphy, Houghton Mifflin, 2007
Moral and Strategic Dimensions of Humanitarian Military Intervention
Costantino Pischedda
Review of: Humanitarian military
intervention: the conditions for success and failure, Taylor B. Seybolt, Oxford
University Press, 2007
Recent Publications
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