Vol. 42, No. 4, December 2007
Essays
The Middle East between Transformation and Crisis
The Role of Hezbollah in Lebanese Domestic Politics
Augustus Richard Norton
Hezbollah emerged in 1982 as a
manifestation of Iran's influence and a response to Israel's massive invasion of Lebanon.
Hezbollah (cooperating with Syria) won legitimacy by resisting Israel's occupation, but it
also offered Shias a credible ideology and an array of institutions. The party is now
deeply embedded in Lebanese politics. After Israel's unilateral withdrawal in 2000,
Hezbollah continued to assert its "national resistance" role, but this claim has
been openly challenged, especially after the 2006 war. Since then, the government and the
opposition have been at a dangerous impasse, with compromise elusive and the dangers of
new violence growing.
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The US Approach Toward Islamic Militancy: Current Policies in Historical Perspective
Shireen Hunter
Following the events of 9/11, the US
declared a global war on terror, and a new strategy based on preemption for defeating
Muslim extremism and terrorism. However, the new US strategy so far has not been more
successful than earlier strategies, in combating either Muslim extremism or international
terrorism. Arguably, it may even have contributed to the strengthening of the appeal of
Islamic extremism and certain terrorist groups such as al-Qaeda. The principal reason for
this lack of success has been the historically inconsistent and contradictory approach of
the US to dealing with the problem of Muslim militancy and its manipulation of it for
short-term objectives.
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Globalisation and the Restructuring of State Power in the Arab World
Laura Guazzone and Daniela Pioppi
The dynamics of change in the Arab
world today are part of a much larger global process - the neo-liberal phase of
globalisation - that started in the 1980s and engendered a process of state power
restructuring, both for peripheral "weak" states and core industrialised
countries. Beyond national differences, the restructuring of the Arab states has implied
the consolidation of neo-authoritarian political regimes characterised by fragmentation of
the power structure and by an increase in informal modes of government
(neo-patrimonialism, corruption), accompanied by the parallel political and economic
marginalisation of large sectors of society. These less centralised and more elitist
regimes are likely to be more dependent and vulnerable than their predecessors to external
pressures and foreign influence.
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Opinions
Choosing Transformation over Crisis in the Levant
Nomi Bar-Yaacov and Gideon Lichfield
A brief window of opportunity for an
Israeli-Palestinian peace process has opened up since the Hamas-Fatah confrontation in
Gaza in June. Yet the governments of both Israel and Palestine are weak, and if they fall,
this could cause further instability and violence. More robust international involvement
is required, including closer coordination and consultation between the Quartet and the
Arab Quartet. A comprehensive process towards a final-status deal must be undertaken. This
would include a new timetable for implementation of existing framework agreements, an
international implementation and enforcement mechanism with close monitoring and
compliance facilities, and a built-in conflict resolution mechanism to help the parties
overcome disagreements in the process. Once serious progress is made on the peace front
with the current Palestinian government, a concerted effort will have to be made to
promote Fatah-Hamas reconciliation with a view to reintegrating Hamas into the political
process.
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The European Union and Iran: What Next?
Walter Posch
EU-Iranian relations have reached a
stalemate. EU engagement with Iran makes sense as long as it is accompanied by stringent
sanctions that are imposed by the international community (i.e. E3+3 format and UNSC) and
that focus on the nuclear file only. In the end, such an approach could allow the EU to
find that delicate balance between the US position of imposing sanctions for the sake of
sanctioning, thereby rendering them ineffective, and a Russian-Chinese position of
applying minimal sanctions that would make them equally inefficient.
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Saudi Arabia Walks the Tightrope
Paul Aarts
Saudi diplomacy seems more active than
ever. This has to do with three recent major regional developments: the summer 2006 war
between Israel and Hezbollah, the violent clashes between Hamas and Fatah in the occupied
Palestinian territories, and the Iraqi quagmire. In each of these, the role of Iran is
difficult to overlook and this is troubling Riyadh. Yet Saudi Arabia has difficulty in
responding to Iran's assertiveness: it wants to contain Tehran's ambitions, but at the
same time it cannot allow itself to clash with it. As a result, it is treading a fine
line.
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Italy in World Affairs
EU Foreign Policy in the Italian Parliament: The Debates on
China and Iran
Flavia Zanon
Governments have always been more
reluctant to accept parliamentary oversight in foreign policy than in any other domestic
policy field. This examination of the recent performance of the Italian Parliament in CFSP
scrutiny and control in the two case studies of the EU's arms embargo against China and
negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program shows that institutional arrangements
concerning parliamentary control in this field have significant shortcomings. Although
limited, the reforms under discussion in the new intergovernmental conference could
contribute to improving the performance of parliaments and to creating a common awareness
of the problem of democratic deficit in CFSP among the parliamentarians of EU member
states.
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Europe Forum
Altiero Spinelli's European Federal Odyssey
John Pinder
Altiero Spinelli's federalist mission
started during his years of internment on the island of Ventotene. This was where he
wrote, together with Ernesto Rossi, the Ventotene Manifesto, a clarion call for European
federation. Considering the war a product of unlimited national sovereignty, Spinelli saw
a federal Europe as the key to avoiding another fratricidal war. From then on, Spinelli
spent the rest of his life working tirelessly to achieve this ambitious goal. His bold and
radical initiatives, from the European Political Community in 1951-53 to the Draft Treaty
on the European Union in 1981-84, were perhaps too far ahead of their time to be
successful, yet Spinelli's ideas did succeed in stimulating further European integration
and the relaunching of the Community's federal development. His main legacy is the
inspiration his life provides for those who wish to complete the building of a federal
Europe.
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Book Reviews
Lessons for Peacebuilders
Costantino Pischedda
Review of: Making war and building
peace : United Nations peace operations, Michael W. Doyle and Nicholas Sambanis,
Princeton University Press, 2006
The Tragedies of Alliance Politics
Francesco N. Moro
Review of: Alleati ma rivali :
teoria delle alleanze e politica estera settecentesca, Marco Cesa, Il Mulino, 2007
Promoting Peace in the Backyard?
Karen Smith
Review of: The EU and conflict
resolution : promoting peace in the backyard, Nathalie Tocci, Routledge, 2007
George Kennan, the Conscience of America
Emiliano Alessandri
Review of: George Kennan : a study
of character, John Lukacs; Yale University Press, 2007
Recent Publications
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Volume 42 Contents
Index 2007
List of
Contributors 2007